Monday, August 29, 2011

Fogbank for August 29, 2011



Tonight's Fogbank is wall to wall hurricane, in honor of Hurricane Irene, which passed up the East Coast over the weekend of August 27

The National Hurricane Center has an interactive KML (google maps) link. I like it a lot, as it shows the error cone & consensus track, but wish it had time stamps for predicted position.  Go to the NHC Main Page, click on one of the active systems, then look for Warning Cone (Interactive)

NHC also has an interactive map with the forecasting breakpoints, or the geographic locations for the various watches & warnings.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/breakpoints.shtml?gm

My third pick is an article on the predictability and uncertainty in hurricane forecasting
http://www.pennlive.com/midstate/index.ssf/2011/08/unpredictable_hurricane_paths.html

From the US editor for London's Daily Telegraph, I have, "Perfect Storm of Hype: Politicians, the media, and the Hurricane Irene apocalypse that never was
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/tobyharnden/100102355/perfect-storm-of-hype-politicians-the-media-and-the-hurricane-irene-apocalypse-that-never-was/
I especially liked the youtube clip of one reporter in Ocean City, Maryland.


Some of the draft NHC discussion bulletins that never got released
http://blog.xkcd.com/2011/08/29/for-the-small-handful-of-hurricane-geeks-out-there/

2005 Hurricane Epsilon, the hurricane that wouldn't die. This page is a listing of all of the NHC releases for that storm.  From the previous link, I'm guessing that some of those releases had notes of frustration in them.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2005/EPSILON.shtml?



Fogbank audio

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